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Vladimir Putin interviewed by US journalist Tucker Carlson, February 2024.

Picture by: President of the Russian Federation

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Why is Russia trying to influence Poland’s presidential elections?

Tomasz Morek and Igor Rybkowski, both 15, break down Russian misinformation in Poland

In the information age, wars are not only decided on the battlefield, but also in the arena of public opinion. Here, Russia has a long tradition of using propaganda and what we now call fake news, most notably during the Cold War.

Since Russia first attacked Ukraine in 2014, Russia’s disinformation campaigns have grown and spread. To limit Western support for Ukraine, Moscow’s strategy centres on manipulating public opinion in democratic countries by spreading fake news, silencing the opposition and infiltrating online platforms, think tanks and grassroots organisations. 

Russia also uses hacked data, which is a powerful tool to influence election outcomes or discredit politicians who conflict with Russian interests. The development of AI-based technologies such as deepfakes has also improved Moscow’s disinformation capabilities.

The Kremlin has been systematically targeting democratic institutions worldwide, using state-controlled media outlets such as RT and Sputnik as well as bot armies, troll networks and cyber attacks. The infamous Internet Research Agency, known in Russia as “Kremlinbots” or “Trolls from Olgino”, has been directly linked to such operations, with the 2016 US election being a prime example of how Russia weaponised social media to amplify division.

US intelligence agencies have verified that Russian operatives disrupted the US election by sabotaging the campaign of Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton, and deploying tailored disinformation campaigns on Twitter to increase discord and discourage voter participation.

It led to the scandal known as “Russiagate”, which sparked investigations into Russian interference and potential connections between the campaign of Republican candidate Donald Trump and the Kremlin. Ultimately, no evidence of collusion between Trump and Russia was discovered.

Now, the real question is whether a similar situation may take place in Poland during the presidential elections in May.

In January, a Russian disinformation group was uncovered by the Polish government. Deputy prime minister Krzysztof Gawkowski saidthat “Russia is waging a cyberwar against Poland, making us the most targeted country in the European Union.” Poland is targeted by the Russians ahead of the election because it is one of Kyiv’s key allies and the majority of Western aid for Ukraine is shippedthrough Poland. 

Speaking at the EU’s cybersecurity summit in early March, Gawskowski statedthat Russia is the most dangerous enemy in the information space, using hackers and breaching online security to destabilise the EU

State media systems and fake social media profiles enable Putin’s regime to inflame historical disputes between neighbouring nations, boost negative feelings toward the EU and polarise society. Worldwide, Russia spends up to $4bn a yearto fund disinformation and propaganda campaigns.

In Poland, the Kremlin aims to discredit the NATO military alliance and the EU by portraying them as corrupt organisations. Furthermore, it claims Poland is following the American political agenda while assigning blame for any economic challenges to Western policies, rather than to Russian aggression on Ukraine. 

In October, the Polish Ministry of Administration and Digitization presented the country’s first-ever digitalisation plan, to last until 2035. The document focuses heavily on security-related issues, especially cooperation within the European Union, to ensure the region’s security in cyberspace and to coordinate civil and military cybersecurity operations.

An additional push to limit the influence of Russia, with its propaganda and hackers, on the upcoming presidential elections shows that Poland is much closer to the frontline than its citizens believe.

Written by:

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Tomasz Morek

Contributor

Warsaw, Poland

Born in 2009 in Warsaw, Poland, Tomek joined Harbingers’ Magazine to cover the Polish presidential elections.

In the future, he plans to study law or a related field, aiming to explore the intersection of justice and societal development.

In his free time, he enjoys sports, delving into political analysis, and exploring history, with a particular interest in how past events shape modern society.

author_bio

Igor Rybkowski

Contributor

Warsaw, Poland

Born in 2009, Igor studies in Warsaw, Poland. He joined Harbingers’ Magazine to analyse various aspects of the Polish presidential election.

He is interested in design, technology, and engineering and plans to pursue these fields in the future.

Igor is an enthusiast for music and basketball, but he also enjoys politics, art, and fashion in his free time.

Edited by:

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Klara Hammudeh

Politics Section Editor 2025

Warsaw, Poland

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